Population Growth 2040-2050
County population growth 2040-2050
Source: North Carolina OSBM, Standard Population Estimates, Vintage 2022 and Population Projections, Vintage 2023
| County | July 1, 2040 Projection | July 1, 2050 Projection | Numeric Change | Percent Change | Net Migration | Natural Increase | Births | Deaths |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alamance | 218,714 | 240,211 | 21,497 | 10 | 25,897 | -4,400 | 26,037 | 30,437 |
| Alexander | 36,769 | 36,792 | 23 | 0 | 1,790 | -1,767 | 4,068 | 5,835 |
| Alleghany | 11,486 | 11,486 | 0 | 0 | 449 | -449 | 1,307 | 1,756 |
| Anson | 21,945 | 21,942 | 3 | 0 | 986 | -989 | 2,368 | 3,357 |
| Ashe | 30,456 | 32,500 | 2,044 | 7 | 4,500 | -2,456 | 2,779 | 5,235 |
| Avery | 17,394 | 17,395 | 1 | 0 | 1,270 | -1,269 | 1,422 | 2,691 |
| Beaufort | 40,448 | 38,479 | 1,969 | 5 | 460 | -2,429 | 4,282 | 6,711 |
| Bertie | 14,759 | 13,527 | 1,232 | 8 | 352 | -880 | 1,245 | 2,125 |
| Bladen | 28,949 | 29,327 | 378 | 1 | 709 | -331 | 3,696 | 4,027 |
| Brunswick | 232,001 | 266,545 | 34,544 | 15 | 63,809 | -29,265 | 16,293 | 45,558 |
| Buncombe | 326,751 | 356,389 | 29,638 | 9 | 47,627 | -17,989 | 28,454 | 46,443 |
| Burke | 90,409 | 90,952 | 543 | 1 | 4,322 | -3,779 | 9,722 | 13,501 |
| Cabarrus | 326,042 | 374,638 | 48,596 | 15 | 42,428 | 6,168 | 42,430 | 36,262 |
| Caldwell | 82,188 | 82,190 | 2 | 0 | 4,750 | -4,748 | 8,183 | 12,931 |
| Camden | 13,085 | 13,395 | 310 | 2 | 934 | -624 | 1,104 | 1,728 |
| Carteret | 78,307 | 82,921 | 4,614 | 6 | 12,014 | -7,400 | 5,688 | 13,088 |
| Caswell | 20,401 | 19,422 | 979 | 5 | 756 | -1,735 | 1,784 | 3,519 |
| Catawba | 197,025 | 215,014 | 17,989 | 9 | 26,121 | -8,132 | 22,293 | 30,425 |
| Chatham | 103,547 | 116,913 | 13,366 | 13 | 20,704 | -7,338 | 10,024 | 17,362 |
| Cherokee | 32,674 | 34,745 | 2,071 | 6 | 5,482 | -3,411 | 2,634 | 6,045 |
| Chowan | 13,925 | 13,941 | 16 | 0 | 470 | -454 | 1,582 | 2,036 |
| Clay | 13,894 | 15,167 | 1,273 | 9 | 2,556 | -1,283 | 1,115 | 2,398 |
| Cleveland | 110,374 | 116,126 | 5,752 | 5 | 9,719 | -3,967 | 13,008 | 16,975 |
| Columbus | 49,235 | 48,799 | 436 | 1 | 725 | -1,161 | 6,647 | 7,808 |
| Craven | 107,924 | 107,971 | 47 | 0 | 2,142 | 2,189 | 15,160 | 12,971 |
| Cumberland | 346,280 | 346,326 | 46 | 0 | 10,131 | 10,177 | 50,172 | 39,995 |
| Currituck | 56,515 | 70,796 | 14,281 | 25 | 15,269 | -988 | 6,412 | 7,400 |
| Dare | 42,430 | 48,201 | 5,771 | 14 | 8,277 | -2,506 | 4,015 | 6,521 |
| Davidson | 201,178 | 215,618 | 14,440 | 7 | 21,509 | -7,069 | 22,820 | 29,889 |
| Davie | 52,178 | 56,785 | 4,607 | 9 | 7,656 | -3,049 | 5,179 | 8,228 |
| Duplin | 57,320 | 62,098 | 4,778 | 8 | 1,390 | 3,388 | 10,930 | 7,542 |
| Durham | 410,030 | 454,749 | 44,719 | 11 | 28,235 | 16,484 | 55,386 | 38,902 |
| Edgecombe | 42,626 | 39,493 | 3,133 | 7 | 2,251 | -882 | 6,071 | 6,953 |
| Forsyth | 453,437 | 490,117 | 36,680 | 8 | 33,507 | 3,173 | 59,087 | 55,914 |
| Franklin | 116,044 | 134,008 | 17,964 | 16 | 20,795 | -2,831 | 13,692 | 16,523 |
| Gaston | 267,886 | 284,441 | 16,555 | 6 | 20,932 | -4,377 | 32,561 | 36,938 |
| Gates | 10,632 | 10,632 | 0 | 0 | 925 | -925 | 733 | 1,658 |
| Graham | 7,771 | 7,755 | 16 | 0 | 133 | -149 | 965 | 1,114 |
| Granville | 73,369 | 79,925 | 6,556 | 9 | 9,790 | -3,234 | 7,645 | 10,879 |
| Greene | 19,939 | 19,938 | 1 | 0 | 220 | -221 | 2,740 | 2,961 |
| Guilford | 626,975 | 678,568 | 51,593 | 8 | 58,643 | -7,050 | 69,657 | 76,707 |
| Halifax | 40,318 | 36,668 | 3,650 | 9 | 1,665 | -1,985 | 4,887 | 6,872 |
| Harnett | 182,050 | 205,029 | 22,979 | 13 | 17,667 | 5,312 | 26,105 | 20,793 |
| Haywood | 70,821 | 75,017 | 4,196 | 6 | 9,327 | -5,131 | 6,515 | 11,646 |
| Henderson | 143,731 | 157,574 | 13,843 | 10 | 23,067 | -9,224 | 14,620 | 23,844 |
| Hertford | 16,936 | 15,289 | 1,647 | 10 | 921 | -726 | 1,644 | 2,370 |
| Hoke | 70,772 | 79,950 | 9,178 | 13 | 4,231 | 4,947 | 12,627 | 7,680 |
| Hyde | 3,662 | 3,202 | 460 | 13 | 191 | -269 | 363 | 632 |
| Iredell | 286,068 | 335,056 | 48,988 | 17 | 56,058 | -7,070 | 31,781 | 38,851 |
| Jackson | 44,408 | 45,099 | 691 | 2 | 2,581 | -1,890 | 3,758 | 5,648 |
| Johnston | 337,223 | 385,056 | 47,833 | 14 | 43,637 | 4,196 | 45,093 | 40,897 |
| Jones | 9,101 | 9,100 | 1 | 0 | 622 | -623 | 864 | 1,487 |
| Lee | 80,652 | 88,798 | 8,146 | 10 | 6,691 | 1,455 | 11,739 | 10,284 |
| Lenoir | 48,761 | 45,794 | 2,967 | 6 | 2,297 | -670 | 6,854 | 7,524 |
| Lincoln | 125,124 | 140,643 | 15,519 | 12 | 21,722 | -6,203 | 13,056 | 19,259 |
| Macon | 45,834 | 50,393 | 4,559 | 10 | 7,178 | -2,619 | 5,104 | 7,723 |
| Madison | 22,527 | 23,214 | 687 | 3 | 2,052 | -1,365 | 2,154 | 3,519 |
| Martin | 17,939 | 16,057 | 1,882 | 11 | 866 | -1,016 | 2,152 | 3,168 |
| McDowell | 44,602 | 44,602 | 0 | 0 | 2,422 | -2,422 | 4,507 | 6,929 |
| Mecklenburg | 1,514,361 | 1,717,077 | 202,716 | 13 | 156,605 | 46,111 | 194,762 | 148,651 |
| Mitchell | 14,189 | 13,865 | 324 | 2 | 505 | -829 | 1,412 | 2,241 |
| Montgomery | 25,524 | 25,524 | 0 | 0 | 151 | -151 | 3,394 | 3,545 |
| Moore | 153,607 | 179,890 | 26,283 | 17 | 29,062 | -2,779 | 20,349 | 23,128 |
| Nash | 100,185 | 100,322 | 137 | 0 | 3,713 | -3,576 | 12,153 | 15,729 |
| New Hanover | 295,691 | 328,806 | 33,115 | 11 | 39,212 | -6,097 | 29,503 | 35,600 |
| Northampton | 12,507 | 10,403 | 2,104 | 17 | 2,107 | 3 | 1,258 | 1,255 |
| Onslow | 254,804 | 279,808 | 25,004 | 10 | 12,525 | 37,529 | 56,975 | 19,446 |
| Orange | 175,040 | 189,672 | 14,632 | 8 | 20,012 | -5,380 | 13,281 | 18,661 |
| Pamlico | 11,513 | 11,122 | 391 | 3 | 965 | -1,356 | 764 | 2,120 |
| Pasquotank | 40,735 | 40,726 | 9 | 0 | 651 | -660 | 4,786 | 5,446 |
| Pender | 87,235 | 98,333 | 11,098 | 13 | 12,200 | -1,102 | 10,449 | 11,551 |
| Perquimans | 13,406 | 13,416 | 10 | 0 | 921 | -911 | 1,181 | 2,092 |
| Person | 39,633 | 39,703 | 70 | 0 | 1,447 | -1,377 | 4,555 | 5,932 |
| Pitt | 206,957 | 226,562 | 19,605 | 10 | 12,848 | 6,757 | 29,554 | 22,797 |
| Polk | 19,801 | 19,801 | 0 | 0 | 2,203 | -2,203 | 1,378 | 3,581 |
| Randolph | 156,588 | 162,982 | 6,394 | 4 | 8,583 | -2,189 | 20,254 | 22,443 |
| Richmond | 39,158 | 37,197 | 1,961 | 5 | 1,359 | -602 | 5,227 | 5,829 |
| Robeson | 136,683 | 147,746 | 11,063 | 8 | 10,640 | 423 | 21,349 | 20,926 |
| Rockingham | 91,570 | 91,573 | 3 | 0 | 6,370 | -6,367 | 8,734 | 15,101 |
| Rowan | 167,602 | 177,024 | 9,422 | 6 | 12,851 | -3,429 | 21,246 | 24,675 |
| Rutherford | 68,331 | 70,296 | 1,965 | 3 | 6,837 | -4,872 | 6,473 | 11,345 |
| Sampson | 60,890 | 60,904 | 14 | 0 | 1,082 | 1,096 | 9,461 | 8,365 |
| Scotland | 29,475 | 27,199 | 2,276 | 8 | 1,370 | -906 | 3,669 | 4,575 |
| Stanly | 67,367 | 69,733 | 2,366 | 4 | 5,072 | -2,706 | 7,712 | 10,418 |
| Stokes | 47,471 | 47,497 | 26 | 0 | 4,633 | -4,607 | 3,998 | 8,605 |
| Surry | 71,250 | 71,248 | 2 | 0 | 866 | -868 | 9,732 | 10,600 |
| Swain | 14,042 | 14,236 | 194 | 1 | 640 | -446 | 1,692 | 2,138 |
| Transylvania | 35,790 | 37,389 | 1,599 | 5 | 4,469 | -2,870 | 2,901 | 5,771 |
| Tyrrell | 3,061 | 2,907 | 154 | 5 | 112 | -42 | 413 | 455 |
| Union | 366,544 | 431,612 | 65,068 | 18 | 66,412 | -1,344 | 40,664 | 42,008 |
| Vance | 39,884 | 39,874 | 10 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 5,481 | 5,481 |
| Wake | 1,615,386 | 1,866,937 | 251,551 | 16 | 233,833 | 17,718 | 175,291 | 157,573 |
| Warren | 19,076 | 19,126 | 50 | 0 | 1,723 | -1,673 | 1,514 | 3,187 |
| Washington | 8,867 | 8,543 | 324 | 4 | 43 | -367 | 1,146 | 1,513 |
| Watauga | 65,893 | 71,404 | 5,511 | 8 | 7,581 | -2,070 | 4,101 | 6,171 |
| Wayne | 117,524 | 117,524 | 0 | 0 | 2,294 | 2,294 | 17,152 | 14,858 |
| Wilkes | 72,087 | 77,149 | 5,062 | 7 | 8,722 | -3,660 | 8,134 | 11,794 |
| Wilson | 81,804 | 84,336 | 2,532 | 3 | 3,045 | -513 | 11,033 | 11,546 |
| Yadkin | 37,712 | 37,714 | 2 | 0 | 1,242 | -1,240 | 4,575 | 5,815 |
| Yancey | 20,124 | 21,074 | 950 | 5 | 1,788 | -838 | 2,205 | 3,043 |
| State | 12,993,208 | 14,241,032 | 1,247,824 | 10 | 1,327,184 | -79,360 | 1,555,122 | 1,634,482 |
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