Population Growth 2030-2040

County population growth 2030-2040

Source: North Carolina OSBM, Standard Population Estimates, Vintage 2022 and Population Projections, Vintage 2023

County July 1, 2030 Projection July 1, 2040 Projection Numeric Change Percent Change Net Migration Natural Increase Births Deaths
Alamance 197,216 218,714 21,498 10.9 23,408 -1,910 24,195 26,105
Alexander 36,749 36,769 20 0.1 1,592 -1,572 4,087 5,659
Alleghany 11,488 11,486 -2 - 478 -480 1,286 1,766
Anson 21,975 21,945 -30 -0.1 796 -826 2,511 3,337
Ashe 28,415 30,456 2,041 7.2 4,189 -2,148 2,647 4,795
Avery 17,396 17,394 -2 - 1,198 -1,200 1,384 2,584
Beaufort 42,413 40,448 -1,965 -4.6 581 -2,546 4,599 7,145
Bertie 15,993 14,759 -1,234 -7.7 -381 -853 1,408 2,261
Bladen 28,739 28,949 210 0.7 584 -374 3,716 4,090
Brunswick 195,759 232,001 36,242 18.5 57,412 -21,170 14,799 35,969
Buncombe 297,113 326,751 29,638 10 43,089 -13,451 26,737 40,188
Burke 89,865 90,409 544 0.6 4,175 -3,631 9,545 13,176
Cabarrus 277,185 326,042 48,857 17.6 40,038 8,819 37,820 29,001
Caldwell 82,150 82,188 38 - 4,071 -4,033 8,551 12,584
Camden 12,288 13,085 797 6.5 1,139 -342 1,138 1,480
Carteret 73,690 78,307 4,617 6.3 10,942 -6,325 5,668 11,993
Caswell 21,370 20,401 -969 -4.5 670 -1,639 1,917 3,556
Catawba 179,033 197,025 17,992 10 23,861 -5,869 20,956 26,825
Chatham 90,115 103,547 13,432 14.9 18,320 -4,888 9,166 14,054
Cherokee 30,603 32,674 2,071 6.8 4,938 -2,867 2,703 5,570
Chowan 13,906 13,925 19 0.1 515 -496 1,654 2,150
Clay 12,627 13,894 1,267 10 2,424 -1,157 1,052 2,209
Cleveland 104,624 110,374 5,750 5.5 9,380 -3,630 12,674 16,304
Columbus 49,670 49,235 -435 -0.9 908 -1,343 6,589 7,932
Craven 107,357 107,924 567 0.5 -1,787 2,354 15,422 13,068
Cumberland 345,728 346,280 552 0.2 -10,571 11,123 48,442 37,319
Currituck 42,236 56,515 14,279 33.8 14,653 -374 4,954 5,328
Dare 38,588 42,430 3,842 10 5,911 -2,069 3,682 5,751
Davidson 186,738 201,178 14,440 7.7 19,757 -5,317 21,561 26,878
Davie 47,565 52,178 4,613 9.7 6,838 -2,225 4,919 7,144
Duplin 52,547 57,320 4,773 9.1 1,755 3,018 9,463 6,445
Durham 365,528 410,030 44,502 12.2 27,582 16,920 49,698 32,778
Edgecombe 45,759 42,626 -3,133 -6.8 -1,971 -1,162 6,426 7,588
Forsyth 416,948 453,437 36,489 8.8 33,349 3,140 53,075 49,935
Franklin 95,631 116,044 20,413 21.3 21,587 -1,174 11,773 12,947
Gaston 250,926 267,886 16,960 6.8 20,011 -3,051 30,705 33,756
Gates 10,624 10,632 8 0.1 803 -795 770 1,565
Graham 7,705 7,771 66 0.9 275 -209 973 1,182
Granville 66,816 73,369 6,553 9.8 8,560 -2,007 7,153 9,160
Greene 19,940 19,939 -1 - 230 -231 2,533 2,764
Guilford 577,037 626,975 49,938 8.7 52,042 -2,104 65,215 67,319
Halifax 43,987 40,318 -3,669 -8.3 -1,381 -2,288 5,159 7,447
Harnett 158,600 182,050 23,450 14.8 16,861 6,589 23,922 17,333
Haywood 66,626 70,821 4,195 6.3 8,904 -4,709 6,173 10,882
Henderson 129,887 143,731 13,844 10.7 21,186 -7,342 13,609 20,951
Hertford 18,577 16,936 -1,641 -8.8 -646 -995 1,680 2,675
Hoke 61,623 70,772 9,149 14.8 3,691 5,458 11,781 6,323
Hyde 4,168 3,662 -506 -12.1 -245 -261 394 655
Iredell 237,079 286,068 48,989 20.7 51,331 -2,342 28,230 30,572
Jackson 43,720 44,408 688 1.6 2,553 -1,865 3,655 5,520
Johnston 287,852 337,223 49,371 17.2 41,141 8,230 40,266 32,036
Jones 9,100 9,101 1 - 572 -571 915 1,486
Lee 72,503 80,652 8,149 11.2 6,648 1,501 10,512 9,011
Lenoir 51,729 48,761 -2,968 -5.7 -1,838 -1,130 6,922 8,052
Lincoln 109,691 125,124 15,433 14.1 19,333 -3,900 11,847 15,747
Macon 41,274 45,834 4,560 11 7,157 -2,597 4,394 6,991
Madison 21,839 22,527 688 3.2 1,964 -1,276 2,139 3,415
Martin 19,822 17,939 -1,883 -9.5 -602 -1,281 2,281 3,562
McDowell 44,602 44,602 - - 2,041 -2,041 4,622 6,663
Mecklenburg 1,311,696 1,514,361 202,665 15.5 144,691 57,974 174,814 116,840
Mitchell 14,534 14,189 -345 -2.4 642 -987 1,399 2,386
Montgomery 25,523 25,524 1 - 185 -184 3,501 3,685
Moore 127,057 153,607 26,550 20.9 28,070 -1,520 17,112 18,632
Nash 99,437 100,185 748 0.8 3,692 -2,944 12,072 15,016
New Hanover 262,576 295,691 33,115 12.6 36,433 -3,318 27,482 30,800
Northampton 14,605 12,507 -2,098 -14.4 -1,846 -252 1,448 1,700
Onslow 229,804 254,804 25,000 10.9 -8,708 33,708 51,317 17,609
Orange 160,411 175,040 14,629 9.1 16,966 -2,337 12,859 15,196
Pamlico 11,904 11,513 -391 -3.3 934 -1,325 854 2,179
Pasquotank 40,793 40,735 -58 -0.1 407 -465 4,876 5,341
Pender 76,143 87,235 11,092 14.6 11,634 -542 9,161 9,703
Perquimans 13,349 13,406 57 0.4 985 -928 1,217 2,145
Person 39,466 39,633 167 0.4 1,458 -1,291 4,533 5,824
Pitt 187,465 206,957 19,492 10.4 12,104 7,388 27,397 20,009
Polk 19,774 19,801 27 0.1 2,062 -2,035 1,452 3,487
Randolph 150,194 156,588 6,394 4.3 8,170 -1,776 19,282 21,058
Richmond 41,121 39,158 -1,963 -4.8 -1,172 -791 5,442 6,233
Robeson 125,522 136,683 11,161 8.9 9,897 1,264 20,485 19,221
Rockingham 91,571 91,570 -1 - 5,182 -5,183 9,362 14,545
Rowan 157,829 167,602 9,773 6.2 12,902 -3,129 19,701 22,830
Rutherford 66,293 68,331 2,038 3.1 5,678 -3,640 6,861 10,501
Sampson 60,672 60,890 218 0.4 -1,713 1,931 10,246 8,315
Scotland 31,757 29,475 -2,282 -7.2 -1,354 -928 3,938 4,866
Stanly 65,004 67,367 2,363 3.6 4,676 -2,313 7,404 9,717
Stokes 47,168 47,471 303 0.6 4,285 -3,982 4,092 8,074
Surry 71,249 71,250 1 - 1,514 -1,513 9,161 10,674
Swain 13,872 14,042 170 1.2 649 -479 1,730 2,209
Transylvania 34,190 35,790 1,600 4.7 4,293 -2,693 2,854 5,547
Tyrrell 3,223 3,061 -162 -5 -97 -65 398 463
Union 301,612 366,544 64,932 21.5 59,838 5,094 36,722 31,628
Vance 40,046 39,884 -162 -0.4 -266 104 5,733 5,629
Wake 1,363,836 1,615,386 251,550 18.4 206,432 45,118 163,828 118,710
Warren 18,992 19,076 84 0.4 1,530 -1,446 1,576 3,022
Washington 9,601 8,867 -734 -7.6 -243 -491 1,221 1,712
Watauga 59,841 65,893 6,052 10.1 7,404 -1,352 4,317 5,669
Wayne 117,494 117,524 30 - -2,521 2,551 17,284 14,733
Wilkes 68,270 72,087 3,817 5.6 6,900 -3,083 7,635 10,718
Wilson 79,321 81,804 2,483 3.1 3,286 -803 10,347 11,150
Yadkin 37,698 37,712 14 - 1,279 -1,265 4,349 5,614
Yancey 19,175 20,124 949 4.9 1,915 -966 2,039 3,005
State 11,740,822 12,993,208 1,252,386 10.7 1,220,200 32,186 1,449,565 1,417,379
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