Population Growth 2030-2040
County population growth 2030-2040
Source: North Carolina OSBM, Standard Population Estimates, Vintage 2023 and Population Projections, Vintage 2024
| County | July 2030 Projected Population | July 2040 Projected Population | Numeric Change 2030-40 | Percent Change 2030-40 | Births 2030-40 | Deaths 2030-40 | Natural Increase 2030-40 | Net Migration 2030-40 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alamance | 195,390 | 215,665 | 20,275 | 10.4 | 22,296 | 24,693 | -2,397 | 22,672 |
| Alexander | 36,815 | 36,901 | 86 | 0.2 | 3,772 | 5,652 | -1,880 | 1,966 |
| Alleghany | 11,728 | 11,730 | 2 | 0 | 1,069 | 1,953 | -884 | 886 |
| Anson | 21,198 | 21,023 | -175 | -0.8 | 2,301 | 3,428 | -1,127 | 952 |
| Ashe | 26,578 | 26,578 | 0 | 0 | 2,300 | 4,792 | -2,492 | 2,492 |
| Avery | 17,558 | 17,557 | -1 | 0 | 1,237 | 2,719 | -1,482 | 1481 |
| Beaufort | 43,829 | 43,819 | -10 | 0 | 4,933 | 7,470 | -2,537 | 2,527 |
| Bertie | 16,058 | 15,706 | -352 | -2.2 | 1,290 | 2,801 | -1,511 | 1159 |
| Bladen | 31,514 | 35,281 | 3,767 | 12 | 4,467 | 5,264 | -797 | 4,564 |
| Brunswick | 201,455 | 239,871 | 38,416 | 19.1 | 12,204 | 44,504 | -32,300 | 70,716 |
| Buncombe | 297,951 | 327,812 | 29,861 | 10 | 24,268 | 40,413 | -16,145 | 46,006 |
| Burke | 91,881 | 92,044 | 163 | 0.2 | 7,983 | 13,859 | -5,876 | 6,039 |
| Cabarrus | 275,787 | 323,521 | 47,734 | 17.3 | 35,064 | 27,997 | 7,067 | 40,667 |
| Caldwell | 83,140 | 83,255 | 115 | 0.1 | 8,067 | 13,279 | -5,212 | 5,327 |
| Camden | 11,188 | 12,470 | 1282 | 11.5 | 1126 | 1,455 | -329 | 1611 |
| Carteret | 73,692 | 78,322 | 4,630 | 6.3 | 5,242 | 13,531 | -8,289 | 12,919 |
| Caswell | 22,461 | 22,461 | 0 | 0 | 2,005 | 3,757 | -1,752 | 1,752 |
| Catawba | 179,219 | 197,826 | 18,607 | 10.4 | 19,154 | 24,842 | -5,688 | 24,295 |
| Chatham | 90,949 | 104,594 | 13,645 | 15 | 8,794 | 13,518 | -4,724 | 18,369 |
| Cherokee | 31,303 | 33,605 | 2,302 | 7.4 | 2,652 | 6,307 | -3,655 | 5,957 |
| Chowan | 13,759 | 13,757 | -2 | 0 | 1,555 | 2,318 | -763 | 761 |
| Clay | 12,841 | 14,227 | 1,386 | 10.8 | 1144 | 2,248 | -1104 | 2,490 |
| Cleveland | 104,974 | 111,365 | 6,391 | 6.1 | 11,849 | 16,378 | -4,529 | 10,920 |
| Columbus | 53,859 | 52,524 | -1,335 | -2.5 | 5,795 | 8,591 | -2,796 | 1,461 |
| Craven | 103,334 | 103,336 | 2 | 0 | 11,661 | 14,066 | -2,405 | 2,407 |
| Cumberland | 337,971 | 337,972 | 1 | 0 | 39,823 | 35,469 | 4,354 | -4,353 |
| Currituck | 36,487 | 43,736 | 7,249 | 19.9 | 3,992 | 4,803 | -811 | 8,060 |
| Dare | 39,652 | 44,583 | 4,931 | 12.4 | 3,658 | 6,430 | -2,772 | 7,703 |
| Davidson | 188,246 | 201,945 | 13,699 | 7.3 | 20,689 | 26,737 | -6,048 | 19,747 |
| Davie | 48,186 | 53,808 | 5,622 | 11.7 | 4,813 | 7,039 | -2,226 | 7,848 |
| Duplin | 53,298 | 59,181 | 5,883 | 11 | 9,048 | 7,138 | 1,910 | 3,973 |
| Durham | 365,472 | 410,039 | 44,567 | 12.2 | 41,167 | 35,925 | 5,242 | 39,325 |
| Edgecombe | 48,691 | 48,730 | 39 | 0.1 | 6,535 | 7,706 | -1,171 | 1,210 |
| Forsyth | 414,897 | 450,646 | 35,749 | 8.6 | 48,029 | 50,867 | -2,838 | 38,587 |
| Franklin | 94,444 | 112,525 | 18,081 | 19.1 | 11,287 | 12,299 | -1012 | 19,093 |
| Gaston | 259,477 | 274,362 | 14,885 | 5.7 | 29,715 | 33,861 | -4,146 | 19,031 |
| Gates | 10,293 | 10,292 | -1 | 0 | 937 | 1,666 | -729 | 728 |
| Graham | 8,067 | 8,087 | 20 | 0.2 | 899 | 1,267 | -368 | 388 |
| Granville | 66,497 | 73,991 | 7,494 | 11.3 | 7,292 | 8,784 | -1492 | 8,986 |
| Greene | 20,145 | 20,146 | 1 | 0 | 1,863 | 2,776 | -913 | 914 |
| Guilford | 592,680 | 640,864 | 48,184 | 8.1 | 68,383 | 66,431 | 1,952 | 46,232 |
| Halifax | 43,925 | 40,304 | -3,621 | -8.2 | 4,850 | 7,351 | -2,501 | -1,120 |
| Harnett | 158,408 | 181,578 | 23,170 | 14.6 | 20,890 | 17,631 | 3,259 | 19,911 |
| Haywood | 66,945 | 71,227 | 4,282 | 6.4 | 5,599 | 11,316 | -5,717 | 9,999 |
| Henderson | 130,564 | 144,579 | 14,015 | 10.7 | 12,229 | 21,036 | -8,807 | 22,822 |
| Hertford | 17,524 | 16,063 | -1,461 | -8.3 | 1,504 | 2,644 | -1,140 | -321 |
| Hoke | 60,151 | 68,776 | 8,625 | 14.3 | 8,903 | 6,580 | 2,323 | 6,302 |
| Hyde | 4,334 | 3,819 | -515 | -11.9 | 370 | 706 | -336 | -179 |
| Iredell | 228,423 | 264,677 | 36,254 | 15.9 | 25,591 | 29,021 | -3,430 | 39,684 |
| Jackson | 46,937 | 50,744 | 3,807 | 8.1 | 4,103 | 6,117 | -2,014 | 5,821 |
| Johnston | 290,489 | 348,083 | 57,594 | 19.8 | 39,046 | 32,206 | 6,840 | 50,754 |
| Jones | 9,117 | 8,729 | -388 | -4.3 | 959 | 1,588 | -629 | 241 |
| Lee | 75,142 | 83,961 | 8,819 | 11.7 | 9,041 | 9,571 | -530 | 9,349 |
| Lenoir | 54,020 | 54,032 | 12 | 0 | 7,421 | 8,419 | -998 | 1,010 |
| Lincoln | 108,247 | 123,549 | 15,302 | 14.1 | 10,955 | 15,585 | -4,630 | 19,932 |
| Macon | 40,686 | 44,310 | 3,624 | 8.9 | 3,541 | 7,348 | -3,807 | 7,431 |
| Madison | 22,360 | 23,229 | 869 | 3.9 | 2,094 | 3,443 | -1,349 | 2,218 |
| Martin | 19,882 | 18,021 | -1,861 | -9.4 | 2,071 | 3,594 | -1,523 | -338 |
| McDowell | 44,816 | 44,817 | 1 | 0 | 4,181 | 6,866 | -2,685 | 2,686 |
| Mecklenburg | 1,293,761 | 1,486,855 | 193,094 | 14.9 | 164,810 | 112,364 | 52,446 | 140,648 |
| Mitchell | 14,438 | 14,031 | -407 | -2.8 | 1,249 | 2,605 | -1,356 | 949 |
| Montgomery | 26,192 | 26,195 | 3 | 0 | 2,937 | 4,021 | -1,084 | 1,087 |
| Moore | 124,746 | 148,540 | 23,794 | 19.1 | 14,964 | 17,073 | -2,109 | 25,903 |
| Nash | 101,336 | 102,907 | 1,571 | 1.6 | 12,272 | 14,670 | -2,398 | 3,969 |
| New Hanover | 262,570 | 295,596 | 33,026 | 12.6 | 25,229 | 34,138 | -8,909 | 41,935 |
| Northampton | 15,884 | 15,676 | -208 | -1.3 | 1,614 | 2,991 | -1,377 | 1169 |
| Onslow | 230,898 | 255,825 | 24,927 | 10.8 | 39,024 | 18,312 | 20,712 | 4,215 |
| Orange | 161,200 | 175,896 | 14,696 | 9.1 | 13,465 | 14,729 | -1,264 | 15,960 |
| Pamlico | 12,917 | 12,918 | 1 | 0 | 995 | 2,432 | -1,437 | 1,438 |
| Pasquotank | 41,339 | 41,338 | -1 | 0 | 4,425 | 5,776 | -1351 | 1,350 |
| Pender | 75,400 | 86,921 | 11,521 | 15.3 | 8,653 | 10,301 | -1,648 | 13,169 |
| Perquimans | 13,887 | 14,100 | 213 | 1.5 | 1,300 | 2,295 | -995 | 1,208 |
| Person | 40,729 | 42,411 | 1,682 | 4.1 | 4,580 | 6,181 | -1,601 | 3,283 |
| Pitt | 184,225 | 208,982 | 24,757 | 13.4 | 23,815 | 20,359 | 3,456 | 21,301 |
| Polk | 19,818 | 19,817 | -1 | 0 | 1,541 | 3,543 | -2,002 | 2,001 |
| Randolph | 152,672 | 160,079 | 7,407 | 4.9 | 17,601 | 21,668 | -4,067 | 11,474 |
| Richmond | 40,456 | 39,830 | -626 | -1.5 | 4,770 | 6,204 | -1,434 | 808 |
| Robeson | 116,606 | 123,424 | 6818 | 5.8 | 17,024 | 17,015 | 9 | 6,809 |
| Rockingham | 92,415 | 92,417 | 2 | 0 | 9,701 | 14,916 | -5,215 | 5,217 |
| Rowan | 158,229 | 168,331 | 10,102 | 6.4 | 17,166 | 22,709 | -5,543 | 15,645 |
| Rutherford | 65,932 | 66,063 | 131 | 0.2 | 7,298 | 10,647 | -3,349 | 3,480 |
| Sampson | 61,899 | 62,331 | 432 | 0.7 | 8,528 | 8,515 | 13 | 419 |
| Scotland | 32,126 | 30,066 | -2,060 | -6.4 | 3,458 | 4,671 | -1,213 | -847 |
| Stanly | 67,060 | 70,007 | 2,947 | 4.4 | 7,124 | 9,542 | -2,418 | 5,365 |
| Stokes | 46,328 | 46,432 | 104 | 0.2 | 4,328 | 7,409 | -3,081 | 3,185 |
| Surry | 71,772 | 71,775 | 3 | 0 | 8,488 | 11,123 | -2,635 | 2,638 |
| Swain | 13,550 | 13,478 | -72 | -0.5 | 1,664 | 2,241 | -577 | 505 |
| Transylvania | 34,061 | 34,285 | 224 | 0.7 | 2,502 | 5,731 | -3,229 | 3,453 |
| Tyrrell | 3,479 | 3,480 | 1 | 0 | 618 | 524 | 94 | -93 |
| Union | 306,153 | 366,971 | 60,818 | 19.9 | 39,273 | 29,111 | 10,162 | 50,656 |
| Vance | 41,222 | 41,221 | -1 | 0 | 5,755 | 6,057 | -302 | 301 |
| Wake | 1,358,482 | 1,603,182 | 244,700 | 18 | 150,514 | 116,071 | 34,443 | 210,257 |
| Warren | 18,780 | 18,804 | 24 | 0.1 | 1,857 | 3,259 | -1,402 | 1,426 |
| Washington | 9,877 | 8,882 | -995 | -10.1 | 1,112 | 1,834 | -722 | -273 |
| Watauga | 55,141 | 55,158 | 17 | 0 | 3,412 | 5,666 | -2,254 | 2,271 |
| Wayne | 120,366 | 120,529 | 163 | 0.1 | 15,814 | 15,425 | 389 | -226 |
| Wilkes | 67,214 | 68,547 | 1,333 | 2 | 7,691 | 10,514 | -2,823 | 4,156 |
| Wilson | 79,283 | 79,352 | 69 | 0.1 | 9,406 | 11,325 | -1,919 | 1,988 |
| Yadkin | 37,723 | 37,723 | 0 | 0 | 4,169 | 5,708 | -1,539 | 1,539 |
| Yancey | 18,741 | 19,050 | 309 | 1.6 | 1,733 | 3,253 | -1,520 | 1,829 |
| State | 11,743,841 | 12,966,080 | 1,222,239 | 10.4 | 1,335,585 | 1,428,980 | -93,395 | 1,315,634 |
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This page was last modified on 01/16/2025